Conditions in 2012 will be challenging, but the streamlined new homes market is robust and well positioned to weather the wider economic storm, supported by a strong underlying demand for new homes, predictsSmartNewHomes.
New home starts are expected to remain low, in the region of 120,000 units over the course of the year, with an increase inplanning approvals anticipated in the latter half of the year when the NPPF(National Planning Policy Framework) comes into effect. Until then, the current stagnation in the planning system due to uncertainty amongst developers,planners and local authorities, will continue to hinder development projects across the board.
Average new home prices will experience nominal growth, in the region of +2-3% over the course of the year. SmartNewHomesanticipates that first time buyers will make a noticeable return to the market next year, supported by government schemes such as FirstBuy and the recently announced mortgage indemnity scheme, which enables them to buy a home outright with a 5% deposit. It is possible thatthose first time buyers who were about to buy when the recession began andmortgage products were withdrawn, have in many cases been saving for the last four years and now have a sizeable deposit which will put them in a goodposition to buy next year.
Steven Lees, Director at SmartNewHomes, said:
"Housebuilders are facing further uncertainty aswe approach 2012, with spending cuts, rising unemployment and downgraded growth forecasts impacting consumer confidence, but the majority of housebuilders have streamlined their operations and are in robust shape going forward. They are building in smaller volumes in areas where there is a proven strong demand,selling quickly before moving onto the next project to limit exposure.
"The Government is recognising that there is a major opportunity for the UK to build its way out of recession, which is reflected inplanning policy, housing strategy such as the Get Britain Building Fund and its commitment to major infrastructure projects announced in the Autumn Statement.
"We are hopeful that Government planning policy and investment in development will enable housebuilders to increase volumes, create jobs and provide a much-needed boost to the economy next year."
